Saturday, July 08, 2006

One Percent, Is it Enough?

In Ron Suskind’s book, “The One Percent Doctrine”, he tells of Cheney’s decision to move on anything if there is a one percent chance of it being true. If there was a one percent chance of Saddam having WMD that was enough for him.

I think we are seeing proof of Cheney’s doctrine today. The guys who were arrested in Miami appear to me to be at best a few misguided yet not dangerous guys. Yesterday we heard of the arrest of someone who was chatting in an online chat room about blowing up the tunnels in New York. Seems in both these situations thoughts were about all the people had to work with.

Do hardened terrorists chat about their serious plans in chat rooms? Do they take the bait when an undercover agent offers them connections and help from bin Laden? To tell you the truth, I don’t know. Was there a one percent chance they would have done something horrific? I guess there will always be that chance, small though it may be.

Let’s think about this a minute. If your neighbor owns a gun, is there a one percent chance he might one day shoot you? Probably. So this being the case, are you at liberty to shoot him because of that one percent chance he might shoot you first?

If we live our lives based on attacking anyone who has a one percent chance of attacking us first, where does it stop? Is a one percent chance of something happening justification for going to war and imprisoning human beings? There may always be a one percent chance that something will happen, but that leaves a 99 percent chance that it won't.

It would seem that Cheney sees the glass as full when it’s 99% empty.


Blogger shutterwi said...

That just a "justification" to do what ever the hell they want.

Life would be a lot easier AND more fun for all of us if we adopted the 1% rule.

I've decided I'm not going to work today because there is a 1% chance the boss won't need me and will send me home anyway.

That was easy.

Gone fishing.

July 08, 2006 6:56 AM  
Blogger dusty said...

Great Post! It's scary to think that Dead-eye Dick only needs 1% probability as justification for anything..god,what a maroon!

July 08, 2006 7:11 AM  
Blogger Mimus Pauly said...

Imagine how frightened and paranoid you have to be to actually believe this one-percent nonsense. No wonder Cheney has such a bad heart...

July 08, 2006 9:14 AM  
Blogger Peacechick Mary said...

One percent is about the same as the number of people who trust or believe Cheney - 100% Dick. This post is a prize. I blanched thinking about the reasoning for shooting someone since Fl has the new law allowing someone to shoot another based on a belief of being threatened. Yikes!

July 08, 2006 9:50 AM  
Blogger windspike said...

The Big Dick Cheney is all about premature ejaculation, isn't he? Ready, Fire, Aim seems to be his M.O. No planning involved. Could be why the whole idea of abstinence as the best prevention of teen pregnancey doesn't work in the republican circles of teens, or any for that matter. Oh, whom I kidding, it explains a lot of the reasons why we are so far up shit's creek with out a paddle with these bozos in charge.

July 08, 2006 10:56 AM  
Blogger glenda said...

Maybe that's why he shot that lawyer, there was a one per cent chance that he might be sued!

July 08, 2006 11:06 AM  
Blogger Peacechick Mary said...

I just did a link to this post - it's too good for folks to miss.

July 08, 2006 11:19 AM  
Blogger PoliShifter said...

Hi PoP,

Sorry (OT)

I was moving my blog to movable type and in the process my blogspot URL got snagged.

My new URL is:

Talk to you later!

July 08, 2006 12:29 PM  
Blogger Trial.Lawyer.Richard said...

Remember the game you played when you were a kid. A group would get in a line and pass a story from one person to the next. By the time it got to the end it didn't resemble the original story. Now, if you play that game, you could be accused of hatching a plot:

First person: What a dud the Holland tunnel is. I just told my friend Tom.

Last person: Flood the Holland Tunnel! He just told us he has a bomb!

NSA Telephone Spy: (secretly) OK, Nab him. Get Rove on the line, we can use this...


July 08, 2006 1:51 PM  
Blogger PaxRomano said...

Welcome to 1984 and thought-crimes

July 08, 2006 2:17 PM  
Blogger Human said...

shutterwi - Agreed.


July 08, 2006 6:43 PM  
Blogger L>T said...

I have been thinking of the same thing lately in terms of; how many things in politics that are done & not done based on assumptions of something that hasn't happened yet.

I'd say a 1% chance & an assumption are pretty much the same thing.

very interesting post.

July 08, 2006 6:52 PM  
Blogger DivaJood said...

"If we live our lives based on attacking anyone who has a one percent chance of attacking us first, where does it stop?"

It doesn't, and that's where Cheney's arrogance lives. And only Cheney (or Blasty McBirdshot, as Alicia dubbed him) can shoot a guy in the face and have that guy apologize later.

July 08, 2006 7:34 PM  
Blogger Granny said...

Peacechick Mary beat me to it. I was going to mention Florida.

July 08, 2006 7:48 PM  
Blogger Reflections said...

That says it all about freedom of speach!

July 09, 2006 4:39 AM  
Blogger Chancelucky said...

I"m about half way through the Susskind book. It's fascinating that Susskind's basic dichotomy is between "reality-based" policy and Cheney-Rumsfeld's 1% doctrine which insists that the danger is so great that any possibility is worth reacting to with the most extreme measures.
One item in the book is that Rumsfeld's dislike of the CIA goes back to the seventies when he got William Colby replaced with George Bush senior because Colby refused to cook information about the Soviet Union.

July 09, 2006 7:41 AM  
Blogger Olive said...

Here it is folks, the Rove plan to try to maintain control of Congress: Multiple-Thwarted-Terrorist-Plots. Ta Da!

It's really the same pre '04-election game from a slightly different angle. Instead of 'be very fucking afraid, terror alert, terror alert!' It's, 'the place is lousy with terrorists and we (the Republicans you've come to count on) are catching them!' (never mind that we've disbanded Team Catch-Osama).

"NEW YORK (AP) -- A CIA unit that had hunted for Osama bin Laden and his top deputies for a decade has been disbanded, according to a published report."--CNN

The cons are going to trot out every Mohamed Atta wanna-be from now until the mid-terms as proof of their competency and superior guardianship skills.

God, I'm so tired of this.

(Nice blog, POP. Great post).

July 09, 2006 9:25 AM  
Blogger Jamie said...

Great post Pop. As usual you hit the right notes. If you consider all the things that have a 1% probability, none of us would be able to go outdoors. It would be a national crippling state of agoraphobia.

Did a bit on illegal immigration on my blog. Take a look and tell me what you think.

July 09, 2006 11:23 AM  
Blogger BrotherCurmudgeon said...

PoP Boy am I delighted that you and others are attuned to these BS "plot" discoveries. My concern is the exorbinant number of citizens who drink the kool-aide and believe these shisters.

July 09, 2006 3:20 PM  
Blogger BrotherCurmudgeon said...

As I am usually prone to do, after the ppervious post I went to the dictionary to check my spelling. "Shister" should have been SHYSTER. Either way the word is an apt description of those bumbling idiots in the current administration.

July 09, 2006 3:25 PM  
Blogger Frederick said...



July 09, 2006 3:29 PM  
Anonymous Libby said...

Great post Pop. I didn't know about this. Damn frightening to think these paranoid freaks are in charge.

Thanks for the cheering note while I was sick btw.

July 09, 2006 3:42 PM  
Blogger PoliShifter said...

Cheney is fucking asshole. All he sees are dollar signs.

The only thing he cares about is using shit for propaganda in such a way that it can make his ass not stink.

The problem is it only works on about 30% of the population.

But since we are not a Democracy, 30% is enough to maintain control over the country's direction. It doesn't hurt having sycophantic Republicans in Congress either...

July 09, 2006 4:39 PM  
Blogger poopie said...

We could take this country back, you know. That puts me in the 1% of believers in the USA. Shit...Cheney's knockin' on my door!!

July 09, 2006 4:43 PM  
Blogger sumo said...

Be sure to dodge the barrel of the gun... or take off the bird suit before you answer the door!

July 11, 2006 2:53 AM  
Blogger Zee said...

Good point and well put - bravo!

July 11, 2006 11:00 PM  
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